What actually happened to the tokens we logged
Most numbers published about memecoins are chosen after the fact. These are not. Every token below was written into our database before we knew what it would do, and every multiple is measured forward from the market cap at that moment. Losers are in the denominator.
Figures are computed from our own tables, not typed in — so they change as the data does. Last computed 2026-09-10 20:13 UTC. Quote them, with attribution to pumppill.org/research.
Solana: 35,608 tokens, from entry to peak
| Outcome | Tokens | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Doubled at some point | 7,621 | 21.4% |
| Reached 5x | 2,299 | 6.5% |
| Reached 10x | 925 | 2.6% |
| Reached 50x | 109 | 0.3% |
| Never moved more than 10% | 18,585 | 52.2% |
Read the last row first. The large majority of tokens that get logged never do anything at all, and any number quoted about memecoins that does not include them is a selection, not a measurement.
Robinhood Chain: the same question, split by what the token is
This is the finding we did not expect. On Robinhood Chain, what a token is predicts its outcome more strongly than any signal we score — and the ordering is the opposite of where the volume goes.
| What the token is | Reviewed | Doubled | Never moved |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pure memecoins | 8,095 | 5.5% | 85.6% |
| Memecoins paired against a tokenised stock | 849 | 15.4% | 56.1% |
| Tokens with a working product | 638 | 26.2% | 40.6% |
| Not yet classified | 593 | 2.7% | 88.5% |
Tokenised equities are excluded from this table. Their reported market cap tracks a share float we do not observe, so a change in it is not a price move — leaving them in inflated every rate on this board until we caught it on 2026-09-09.
How these were measured
- Entry is the market cap when we logged it. Not the token's launch price, and never a price picked afterwards. A token first seen at $40K is measured from $40K even if it traded at $4K an hour earlier.
- Peak is the highest reading since. One source, ratcheted forward on a schedule. A peak that arrives before the entry cannot count, which is the whole point of measuring forward.
- $1,000 minimum entry. Below that a multiple is arithmetic on noise — a $200 cap reaching $2,000 is not a 10x anyone could have traded.
- One row per contract. A token called in six rooms is one token here, measured from the first sighting.
- Nothing is excluded for performing badly. The denominator is every token that cleared the entry floor and has a peak reading.
What these numbers are not: a track record of recommendations. Logging a token is not a call, and the tables above describe what a population of tokens did, not what following us would have returned.
Related
- Breakout log — every detection, including the ones never sent to anyone.
- Promoter track records — per-handle call history with outcomes.
- Token scanner — run a contract address through the same checks.