Am I early? ($FROGBULL on Solana)

No. It was not trading in any size when we stopped tracking it, 94 d ago. 0.1x from $189K, where we first logged it 97 d ago, to $22.6K at our last look, 94 d ago. 1% of its $2.55M peak at our last look. 2/18 launch wallets bought as one group.

Solana tokens

$FROGBULL

Solana

Buy $FROGBULLChart Solscan

First logged 1 Jul, 14:51 UTC · last seen trading 2 Jul, 03:13 UTC

Market cap: $22.6K; 1% of $2.55M peak
Liquidity: $69.8K; 309% of market cap
Top 10 hold: 106.9%; pools left out
First logged at: $189K; 1 Jul, 14:51 UTC
Since then: 0.1x; 99% off the peak
Logged: 97 d ago; Stopped trading

Am I early?

No. It was not trading in any size when we stopped tracking it, 94 d ago.

0.1xfrom $189K, where we first logged it 97 d ago, to $22.6K at our last look, 94 d ago.
1%of its $2.55M peak at our last look.
2/18launch wallets bought as one group.

What's my risk?

High. The contract is clean; the launch was bundled.

Nobody can create more of it or freeze your wallet. Not read: the liquidity lock.

Top 10 wallets hold 106.9%; the creator's wallet holds 50.5%.

RugCheck links 4 of its holder wallets to each other.

2 of the 18 launch wallets bought as one group: 7 buying in the same slot, 7 going through one Jito bundle.

$69.8K of liquidity, 309% of the market cap.

Bundle

Did insiders load the launch, and are they still in?

18 wallets bought in the first 0 seconds. 2 of them bought as one group: 7 buying in the same slot, 7 going through one Jito bundle, 10 sharing one address lookup table. Whether they still hold it has not been read.

2/18

launch wallets bought as one group

27.0 SOL

spent by the 18 launch wallets

Launch wallet	After launch	Spent
5NEd…YXsPcreator	0 s	27.01 SOL
BtAY…7cT7seen in 23 earlier rugs	0 s	0.002 SOL

Who funded them: unread for 1/2 wallets (fresh wallets we could not trace back).

Launch read 1 Jul, 14:51 UTC. We read who bought, not what each still holds.

Holders

Who holds it now?

It's concentrated. The top 10 wallets hold 106.9% between them.

106.9%

held by the top 10 wallets

50.5%

held by the creator's wallet

holder wallets RugCheck links to each other

Pools are not people, so the top 10 leaves them out.

Early money & smart money

Is smart money in?

A funder wallet we track paid launch wallets here.

Tracked funderA funder wallet we track paid launch wallets here.

Checked against the whales, early funders and caller wallets we track. A wallet we do not track can still be in it.

Socials & X

Who's talking about it?

A project account on X. 3 repeat-poster accounts posted about $FROGBULL. 4 accounts posted the contract in their own words.

Project on X@cryptofergani

First post we saw@MemNicholas · 3,007 followers

4 accounts posted the contract in their own words:

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@Wardelly Mixed	2,109	15 scored calls, 47% hit 2x	1 Jul 17:10
@staled_twig	207	6 scored calls, 0% hit 2x	1 Jul 17:10
@AlyaNurFatihah	122	7 scored calls, 14% hit 2x	1 Jul 17:11
@MrPresidentAD	29	2 scored calls, 100% hit 2x	1 Jul 14:42

3 repeat-poster accounts. Posted between 1 Jul 14:44 and 1 Jul 14:46 UTC:

“$FROGBULL Another massive move. $8.0K MC ➜ $154K MC. Early positioning makes all the difference. The private TG delivered once again. Follow + DM for access to the TG & Discord before the next breakout. Ca: BDbNwA95183Cd…”@CraftedMeme01, 1 Jul 14:46 UTC · the post

Show accounts with3 of 3 · 4.4K followers combined

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@CraftedMeme01 Mixed	1,864	35 scored calls, 54% hit 2x	1 Jul 14:46
@dex_kolwatcher Mixed	1,567	2076 scored calls, 20% hit 2x	1 Jul 14:45
@chanpeng_satosh Mixed	974	401 scored calls, 31% hit 2x	1 Jul 14:44

5 more accounts posted it as call-channel or vote-farm copy: @eagle_40_4, @_vanessacorreab, @anaatenciopinto, @prakash270984, @john_noble17995.

3 more accounts named the ticker without the contract, so they are not counted.

Record = how that account's earlier calls went; “none yet” until it has enough scored calls. Who posts is attention, not a reason to buy.

We search X for the full contract address, never the ticker, and sample it: a post we did not see is not proof nobody posted it.

Evidence

Can the contract trap me?

The contract checks are below, each with what it means for a holder.

Mint authority revoked

Freeze authority revoked

Liquidity lock not read

RugCheck: Low Amount of holders

RugCheck: Top 10 holders high ownership

RugCheck: Single holder ownership

Every launch read, with what it found (9)

Jito bundle confirmed: 7 wallet(s), 0.0% supply, 0.0 SOL

Same-slot buys detected: 7/18 buyers, 50.5% supply, 27.0 SOL, entered 0.0s after launch

Shared Address Lookup Table: 10 wallets share 3 LUT(s) — bundler infrastructure

Multi-wallet atomic buys: 3 sybil wallet(s) received tokens via single-tx multi-buy

Uniform minimum fees: 6 wallets paying identical minimum fees — programmatic bundle

Funding unresolved: 1/2 wallets

Single funder controls significant supply: Hpj9B8DK... holds 50.5% supply via 1 buyer(s)

Funder profits at low MC: Hpj9B8DK... breakeven ~54 SOL MC (50.5% supply, 27.0 SOL invested)

Bundle is stuck — can't exit without crashing price: Hpj9B8DK... holds 50.5% supply. Selling drops price ~48%.

Deeper reads· beta

Could the launch group get out?

Still being tuned. Read the sections above first.

The launch group is stuck: its size is large against the pool.

No flow read in the last two hours.

Get the next call on Telegram — every alert, 30 minutes after members. The moment it fires, $99 a month.

Every time we logged it (10)

3:13 AMupdate (15x)$629.5K
1:51 AMupdate (10x)$2.4M
6:50 PMupdate (7.4x)$1.4M
3:53 PMupdate (5.3x)$1.0M
3:51 PMupdate (3.0x)$567.0K
3:37 PMupdate (2.0x)$520.8K
3:30 PMupdate (50%+)$393.8K
3:01 PMfirst seen$186.5K
2:58 PMfirst seen$176.9K
2:51 PMfirst seen$188.9K

Check another one

Paste any contract address on Solana or Robinhood Chain.

Every call we have made, with what it went on to do.