Am I early? ($gustav on Solana)

No. It has stopped trading in any size. 0.1x from $33.6K, where we first logged it 56 d ago. 63% of its $3.1K peak. 25/25 launch wallets bought as one group, and they are selling.

Solana tokens

$gustav

Solana

Buy $gustavChart Solscan

First logged 4 Aug, 12:50 UTC · last seen trading 4 Aug, 12:50 UTC

Market cap: $2.0K; 63% of $3.1K peak
Liquidity: $2.0K; 103% of market cap
Top 10 hold: 35.2%; pools left out
First logged at: $33.6K; 4 Aug, 12:50 UTC
Since then: 0.1x; 37% off the peak
Logged: 56 d ago; Stopped trading

Am I early?

No. It has stopped trading in any size.

0.1xfrom $33.6K, where we first logged it 56 d ago.
63%of its $3.1K peak.
25/25launch wallets bought as one group, and they are selling.

What's my risk?

High. The contract is clean; the people behind the launch have a rug record.

Mint and freeze are revoked. Not read: the liquidity lock.

Top 10 wallets hold 35.2%.

25 of the 25 launch wallets bought as one group: 25 buying in the same slot, 9 going through one Jito bundle.

The wallet we read as the creator (6kkj…p1Qh) has 12 earlier launches on our record; we counted 8 of them as rugs.

$2.0K of liquidity, 103% of the market cap.

Found 1 scam account(s).

Bundle

Did insiders load the launch, and are they still in?

25 wallets bought in the first 2 seconds. 25 of them bought as one group: 25 buying in the same slot, 9 going through one Jito bundle, 3 paying identical minimum fees. They have started selling.

25/25

launch wallets bought as one group

29.6 SOL

spent by the 25 launch wallets

Launch wallet	After launch	Spent
6kkj…p1Qhcreatorseen in 8 earlier rugs	0 s	2.03 SOL
8DQp…2G5Vseen in 11 earlier rugs	0 s	5.99 SOL
7BXR…Y1DJseen in 8 earlier rugs	0 s	2.56 SOL
2CQg…ctFGseen in 985 earlier rugs	0 s	3.07 SOL
GxDy…Wkh3seen in 101 earlier rugs	0 s	0.002 SOL
2YF4…aqvWseen in 11 earlier rugs	0 s	2.64 SOL
C3ix…kKFKseen in 6 earlier rugs	0 s	2.93 SOL
4sWP…H6MWseen in 4110 earlier rugs	1 s	0.001 SOL

Who funded them: unread for 22/25 wallets (fresh wallets we could not trace back).

Launch read 4 Aug, 12:50 UTC. We read who bought, not what each still holds.

Holders

Who holds it now?

It's fairly concentrated. The top 10 wallets hold 35.2% between them.

35.2%

held by the top 10 wallets

0.0%

held by the creator's wallet

Pools are not people, so the top 10 leaves them out.

Early money & smart money

Is smart money in?

A funder wallet we track paid launch wallets here.

Tracked funderA funder wallet we track paid launch wallets here. 8K5e…bFmj

Checked against the whales, early funders and caller wallets we track. A wallet we do not track can still be in it.

Socials & X

Who's talking about it?

No project account on X is linked. 5 repeat-poster accounts posted about $gustav. 1 account posted the contract in its own words.

1 account posted the contract in its own words:

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@fearonchain	422	8 scored calls, 0% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:44

5 repeat-poster accounts. Posted between 4 Aug 12:43 and 4 Aug 12:44 UTC:

“AI信号 (SOL) 一般 gustav ($gustav) CA: yGGoxaZ5yukXh7LBWemwC6Eyxfd99WXD7pW2FaVpump 信号时间: 20:43:29 (56秒前) | 币龄: 1分钟内 MC: $33,046 | 流动性: $19,529 Holders: 277 | 1h涨幅: +1200% | 1h成交: $38,665 聪明钱包: 4个买入 (SW-b153, SW-9b0f, SW-4721…”@bitecong, 4 Aug 12:44 UTC · the post

Show accounts with5 of 5 · 30.7K followers combined

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@bitecong	27,600	3885 scored calls, 17% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:44
@AutorunAlert	2,176	5966 scored calls, 18% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:43
@SolanaMemesScan	476	1247 scored calls, 16% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:44
@crypt_de_casino	420	19 scored calls, 16% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:44
@dexliveevent	7	671 scored calls, 15% hit 2x	4 Aug 12:44

Record = how that account's earlier calls went; “none yet” until it has enough scored calls. Who posts is attention, not a reason to buy.

We search X for the full contract address, never the ticker, and sample it: a post we did not see is not proof nobody posted it.

Evidence

Can the contract trap me?

The contract checks are below, each with what it means for a holder.

Mint authority revoked

Freeze authority revoked

Liquidity lock not read

Every launch read, with what it found (10)

Jito bundle confirmed: 9 wallet(s), 8.5% supply, 1.4 SOL, entered 1.0s after launch

Funder seen bundling before (no confirmed rugs): 8K5e3uzU... seen bundling 30 other token(s), 0 confirmed rugs

Same-slot buys detected: 25/25 buyers, 56.8% supply, 29.6 SOL, entered 0.0s after launch

Bundler dumped into launch: 1 coordinated wallet(s) sold within 5 min: HCUzXY… sold 35%

Multi-wallet atomic buys: 2 sybil wallet(s) received tokens via single-tx multi-buy

Uniform minimum fees: 3 wallets paying identical minimum fees — programmatic bundle

Funding unresolved: 22/25 wallets

Single funder controls significant supply: FGq1oAzo... holds 7.0% supply via 1 buyer(s)

Funder profits at low MC: GM13CRrX... breakeven ~64 SOL MC (4.0% supply, 2.6 SOL invested)

Known scam promoter flagged by X-Scan: Pushed by actors with @fearonchain (established pattern of 5 rug(s))

Deeper reads· beta

Is money arriving or leaving?

Still being tuned. Read the sections above first.

No flow read in the last two hours.

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Every call we have made, with what it went on to do.