Robinhood Report / #1

September 30, 2026

Issue #1. Research, not advice. Most small tokens go to zero.

par, MONEY, DENAR — with the thesis and what would break it.͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ 
PumpPill

Daily research · Robinhood Chain

Robinhood Report #1

Wednesday, September 30, 2026 · 3 picks · Robinhood Chain

 

Every pick below cleared our safety screen and fits a setup we have measured on Robinhood Chain. The slate is first; how earlier picks are doing follows it, as always: the wins and the losses.

Robinhood Chain read mixed yesterday: 52% of watched tokens closed up, $747M traded (-3% vs the week), 0 tokens crossed $300K, 151 sit above $1M.

Today's picks at a glance

#PickSetupCapLiquidityTop-10
1parUtility · Sweet-spot band$618K$145K19%
2MONEY own.moneyUtility · Sweet-spot band$610K$69K33%
3DENAR Denar MarketsUtility · Sweet-spot band$309K$58K20%

How earlier picks are doing

This is the first issue. The scorecard starts as soon as a pick has had a week behind it, and every pick, win or loss, stays on the public track record.

Today's picks

Utility Sweet-spot band

#1 · par

Liquidity $145K24h volume $131K4,494 holdersOwn GitHubX 4,984 followers
Market cap$618K
     
Lit band is $300K-$1M, where forward doubles cluster on this chain.
Turnover (24h volume ÷ market cap)0.21x
     
Lit band is 0.10-0.35, where later doubles cluster. Below it nobody is arriving; far above it is churn.
Top-10 wallets hold19%
    
Our utility screen refuses anything over 50%; 20-50% ran best in our replay.
Where it sits vs its own peak7% of peak
     
Lit band is 10-30% of peak, the recovery zone we have measured.
✓Volume against market cap — a live book — traded at a real fraction of its cap, inside the band where later doubles clustered
$131K traded in 24h against a $618K cap: turnover 0.21
✓Depth against market cap — ordinary depth for this chain
$145K of liquidity under a $618K cap (23 percent)
✓Supply ownership — insiders hold a share, as teams do; no coordinated buying pattern on top of it
top-10 wallets hold 19 percent
✓Site, docs and GitHub — built and still being built
substantial docs; own GitHub org, pushed 9 days ago; contract verified; contract not on its site
✓People behind it — reputable reach behind it
a real account with 6,225 followers posted the contract (@WEB3_DARKMAN)
✓Is anybody home — steady participation
744 swaps in 24h
✓Run-up off the 7-day low — near its recent low; the move, if any, is ahead
1.2x its 7-day low of $506K

Size: mid six figures — position size is what this decides, not what the pool returns

par is a utility token used to pay trading fees on tokens launched through its platform on Robinhood Chain, sitting at a $618K market cap with $145K of liquidity and $131K traded in 24 hours, a turnover of 0.21. That places it inside the $300K-1M band where Robinhood Chain tokens most often doubled later in our data, and the tape reads as coiling: the band has tightened to 1.15x, the floor is holding, and new addresses keep arriving across 4,494 holders, with top-10 wallets at 19 percent. Buys and sells are balanced at 339 against 332, and the project is 26 days old with verified, renounced contracts and a GitHub pushed 9 days ago. The measured setups here typically need about a week to play out.

 This breaks if no LP lock is found on record, given the deployer's one prior token with an empty pool.

Chart · Safety scan · Website · X · GitHub · Buy

0x507b6f349a80114097a67b8b4677367acc15b220

Utility Sweet-spot band

#2 · own.money (MONEY)

Liquidity $69K24h volume $91K1,200 holdersOwn GitHub, pushed this weekX 2,185 followers
Market cap$610K
     
Lit band is $300K-$1M, where forward doubles cluster on this chain.
Turnover (24h volume ÷ market cap)0.15x
     
Lit band is 0.10-0.35, where later doubles cluster. Below it nobody is arriving; far above it is churn.
Top-10 wallets hold33%
    
Our utility screen refuses anything over 50%; 20-50% ran best in our replay.
Where it sits vs its own peak18% of peak
     
Lit band is 10-30% of peak, the recovery zone we have measured.
✓Volume against market cap — a live book — traded at a real fraction of its cap, inside the band where later doubles clustered
$91K traded in 24h against a $610K cap: turnover 0.15
✓Depth against market cap — thin: what a bag is called and what it sells for are not the same number, and it cuts both ways
$69K of liquidity under a $610K cap (11 percent)
?Supply ownership — the scan ran during an explorer outage and read nothing — not an all-clear
top-10 wallets hold 33 percent; the scan could not locate the launch window
✓Site, docs and GitHub — built and still being built
substantial docs; own GitHub org, pushed 0 days ago; contract verified; contract not on its site
?People behind it — nobody identifiable yet — a fresh account is not a flag
@owndotmoney, 2,185 followers
✓Is anybody home — steady participation
503 swaps in 24h
✓Run-up off the 7-day low — near its recent low; the move, if any, is ahead
1.3x its 7-day low of $485K

Size: mid six figures — the cap sets how much to put in, not what comes back out

Own.money is a 19-day-old utility token for staking and earning yield from real trading fees in the Own protocol's eUSD stablecoin system, with published docs and a GitHub org that pushed code 0 days ago. Its $610K cap sits in the $300K-1M band where Robinhood Chain tokens most often doubled later in our data, and turnover of 0.15 is inside the 0.10-1.0 band. At 18 percent of its peak, it sits in the recovery zone where weak hands are already out. Liquidity is $69K, 24h volume $91K, with 187 buys against 186 sells and 1,200 holders. The tape reads choppy and unresolved, so the setup needs about a week to play out.

 This breaks if the top-10 wallets holding 33 percent of supply distribute into the thin $69K book, or if the SPY pool drags the dollar price down regardless of demand.

Chart · Safety scan · Website · X · GitHub · Buy

0x0a8b4763c71ac39101b3b8a97e62da0b81549a4f

Utility Sweet-spot band

#3 · Denar Markets (DENAR)

Liquidity $58K24h volume $49K1,468 holdersX 2,217 followers
Market cap$309K
     
Lit band is $300K-$1M, where forward doubles cluster on this chain.
Turnover (24h volume ÷ market cap)0.16x
     
Lit band is 0.10-0.35, where later doubles cluster. Below it nobody is arriving; far above it is churn.
Top-10 wallets hold20%
    
Our utility screen refuses anything over 50%; 20-50% ran best in our replay.
Where it sits vs its own peak10% of peak
     
Lit band is 10-30% of peak, the recovery zone we have measured.
✓Volume against market cap — a live book — traded at a real fraction of its cap, inside the band where later doubles clustered
$49K traded in 24h against a $309K cap: turnover 0.16
✓Depth against market cap — ordinary depth for this chain
$58K of liquidity under a $309K cap (19 percent)
✓Supply ownership — insiders hold a share, as teams do; no coordinated buying pattern on top of it
top-10 wallets hold 20 percent
✓Site, docs and GitHub — documented and verifiable, though the code is not public
substantial docs; no GitHub; contract verified; contract published on its own site
?People behind it — nobody identifiable yet — a fresh account is not a flag
@DenarMarkets, 2,217 followers
✓Is anybody home — steady participation
125 new addresses this window vs 114 before; 339 swaps in 24h
✓Run-up off the 7-day low — near its recent low; the move, if any, is ahead
1.4x its 7-day low of $214K

Size: mid six figures — the cap sets how much to put in, not what comes back out

Denar Markets is a utility project on Robinhood Chain where $DENAR is used for lending and borrowing against tokenized stocks without selling them, with published docs and a verified contract. The market shows a $309K cap, $58K liquidity, $49K traded in 24h, turnover of 0.16, and 1,468 holders with top-10 wallets at 20 percent. Activity is steady, with 125 new addresses versus 114 before and 132 buys against 146 sells. It fits the measured setup of a $300K-1M cap with turnover between 0.10 and 1.0, the band where similar tokens most often doubled later in our data. The tape is choppy and unresolved, so the setup needs about a week to play out.

 This breaks if no LP lock is found on record, given the deployer has 1 prior token with an empty pool.

Chart · Safety scan · Website · X · Buy

0x3786728a2c49c4617bf4fe5bd82b90b6b0df5508

Also on the radar

These cleared the same safety screen as the picks above, and we are watching them. They are NOT picks: each one is here with the reason it did not make the cut. Nothing below has a thesis behind it yet.

W0GChart · Safety scan
$677K cap · $926K liquidity · 1.61x turnover · top-10 23%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
MANCERChart · Safety scan
$1.94M cap · $477K liquidity · 0.05x turnover · top-10 59%
Not a pick: volume against market cap: nobody is trading it — a dead book does not double, whatever the story
MACROChart · Safety scan
$180K cap · $117K liquidity · 0.10x turnover · top-10 20%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
PAREChart · Safety scan
$2.60M cap · $425K liquidity · 0.20x turnover · top-10 16%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
 

Research, not financial advice. These are projects our systems and a human editor found worth a look, with the reasons and the risks. Most small tokens go to zero. Size accordingly and check the contract yourself.

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