Robinhood Report / #11

October 14, 2026

Issue #11. Research, not advice. Most small tokens go to zero.

FRONG, par — with the thesis and what would break it.͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ ͏‌ 
PumpPill

Daily research · Robinhood Chain

Robinhood Report #11

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 2 picks · Robinhood Chain

 

Every pick below cleared our safety screen and fits a setup we have measured on Robinhood Chain. The slate is first; how earlier picks are doing follows it, as always: the wins and the losses.

Robinhood Chain read mixed yesterday: 47% of watched tokens closed up, $574M traded (+30% vs the week), 0 tokens crossed $300K, 116 sit above $1M.

Today's picks at a glance

#PickSetupCapLiquidityTop-10
1FRONG frongMeme · Coiling, constructive$3.11M$601K19%
2parUtility · Coiling, constructive$264K$75K20%

How earlier picks are doing

"Now" is today's market cap over the market cap when we called it. "Peak" is the highest it has traded since. The dim block is the first 1x — a bar that stops inside it is under water. Bars stop at 3x; the number is exact.

GOLDEN0.4x now · peak ?
   
called at $926K · down
ROBIN1.3x now · peak ?
   
called at $405K · up, under 2x
CPU0.5x now · peak ?
   
called at $398K · down
SPACEHOOD0.7x now · peak ?
   
called at $1.70M · down
GRASS3.4x now · peak ?
  
called at $545K · up, under 2x
SCOPL0.8x now · peak ?
   
called at $188K · down

Full track record, every pick →

Today's picks

Meme Coiling, constructive

#1 · frong (FRONG)

Liquidity $601K24h volume $204K16,551 holders
Market cap$3.11M
     
Lit band is $300K-$1M, where forward doubles cluster on this chain.
Turnover (24h volume ÷ market cap)0.07x
     
Lit band is 0.05-1.0 of cap for a meme, where later doubles clustered in our replay; under 0.05 nobody is trading it, over 3.0 is churn.
Top-10 wallets hold19%
    
Read through the coordinated-buyer scan below, not as a cap.
Where it sits vs its own peak28% of peak
     
Lit band is 10-30% of peak, the recovery zone we have measured.
✓Volume against market cap — a live book — traded at a real fraction of its cap, inside the band where later doubles clustered
$204K traded in 24h against a $3.11M cap: turnover 0.07
✗Buyers against sellers — balanced tape
405 buys, 363 sells in 24h (53 percent buys)
✓Depth against market cap — ordinary depth for this chain
$601K of liquidity under a $3.11M cap (19 percent)
✓Coordinated buyers — no coordinated cluster above three percent of supply
top-10 wallets hold 19 percent
✓Who is pushing the contract on X — a real audience is pushing it; none of them has a track record with us yet
1 real account(s) with 500+ followers posted the contract: @alexx_data (1,683)
✓Trend or theme — there is a crowd around it
11 real accounts talking about it
✓Run-up off the 7-day low — near its recent low; the move, if any, is ahead
1.3x its 7-day low of $2.43M

Size: seven figures — big for here, which is still small anywhere else

frong is a 76-day-old meme token on Robinhood Chain, trading at a $3.11M cap with $601K of liquidity and $204K traded in 24h, a turnover of 0.07. The tape is coiling, with the band tightened to 1.04x, the floor holding, and new addresses still arriving. Holder spread is wide at 16,551 holders, and the top-10 wallets hold 19 percent of supply, with no coordinated cluster above three percent. It sits 28 percent of its own peak of $11.2M, the recovery zone where weak hands are already out. The setup is a tightening range with the floor holding, which typically needs about a week to play out.

 This breaks if no LP lock is found, since the liquidity backing the floor is not locked.

Chart · Safety scan · Website · X · Buy

0x6245e67affa44a23077f0ea7f981a8dc743a0c47

Utility Coiling, constructive

#2 · par

Liquidity $75K24h volume $15K4,177 holdersOwn GitHubX 5,417 followers
Market cap$264K
     
Lit band is $300K-$1M, where forward doubles cluster on this chain.
Turnover (24h volume ÷ market cap)0.06x
     
Lit band is 0.10-0.35, where later doubles cluster. Below it nobody is arriving; far above it is churn.
Top-10 wallets hold20%
    
Our utility screen refuses anything over 50%; 20-50% ran best in our replay.
Where it sits vs its own peak3% of peak
     
Lit band is 10-30% of peak, the recovery zone we have measured.
✓Volume against market cap — a live book — traded at a real fraction of its cap, inside the band where later doubles clustered
$15K traded in 24h against a $264K cap: turnover 0.06
✓Depth against market cap — ordinary depth for this chain
$75K of liquidity under a $264K cap (28 percent)
✓Supply ownership — insiders hold a share, as teams do; no coordinated buying pattern on top of it
top-10 wallets hold 20 percent
✓Site, docs and GitHub — built and still being built
substantial docs; own GitHub org, pushed 23 days ago; contract verified; contract not on its site
?People behind it — nobody identifiable yet — a fresh account is not a flag
@pardotfamily, 5,417 followers
✓Is anybody home — steady participation
143 swaps in 24h
✓Run-up off the 7-day low — near its recent low; the move, if any, is ahead
1.3x its 7-day low of $209K

Size: low six figures — what moves it is position size against the pool, not the cap itself

par is a utility token used to pay trading fees on tokens launched through its platform on Robinhood Chain, with published docs, a verified and renounced contract, and its own GitHub org last pushed 23 days ago. The market shows a $264K cap, $75K liquidity, $15K traded in 24h, turnover of 0.06, and 143 swaps with 93 buys against 58 sells. Holders number 4,177, top-10 wallets hold 20 percent, and the tape reads as coiling: a range of 2 days, band tightened to 1.06x, floor holding, new addresses still arriving. This fits the measured setup of trading in a tightening range with the floor holding and new addresses still arriving, which typically needs about a week to play out.

 This breaks if the floor of the tightening range fails to hold and price loses the 7-day low of $209K.

Chart · Safety scan · Website · X · GitHub · Buy

0x507b6f349a80114097a67b8b4677367acc15b220

Also on the radar

These cleared the same safety screen as the picks above, and we are watching them. They are NOT picks: each one is here with the reason it did not make the cut. Nothing below has a thesis behind it yet.

LOCKChart · Safety scan
$398K cap · $72K liquidity · 0.13x turnover · top-10 43%
Not a pick: supply ownership: the coordinated bag has already left; the structural sell pressure is behind, and so is the reason to expect them to defend it
WIFChart · Safety scan
$947K cap · $112K liquidity · 0.13x turnover · top-10 25%
Not a pick: who is pushing the contract on x: only relay bots and empty accounts are posting it
NautiloChart · Safety scan
$317K cap · $164K liquidity · 0.08x turnover · top-10 17%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
UNIChart · Safety scan
$1.20M cap · $1.38M liquidity · 0.13x turnover · top-10 13%
Not a pick: who is pushing the contract on x: nobody on X is pushing it — if it runs, it runs on chain alone
VAULTChart · Safety scan
$248K cap · $69K liquidity · 0.10x turnover · top-10 20%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
SPRINGChart · Safety scan
$685K cap · $146K liquidity · 0.02x turnover · top-10 21%
Not a pick: volume against market cap: nobody is trading it — a dead book does not double, whatever the story
MONEYChart · Safety scan
$288K cap · $47K liquidity · 0.04x turnover · top-10 34%
Not a pick: volume against market cap: nobody is trading it — a dead book does not double, whatever the story
PAREChart · Safety scan
$1.90M cap · $317K liquidity · 0.12x turnover · top-10 18%
Not a pick: site, docs and github: a surface, not a build
 

Research, not financial advice. These are projects our systems and a human editor found worth a look, with the reasons and the risks. Most small tokens go to zero. Size accordingly and check the contract yourself.

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