Am I early? ($XPAD on Solana)

No. It already ran to $175K and gave back 63%. 0.6x from $106K, where we first logged it 3 h ago. 37% of its $175K peak. 15/15 launch wallets bought as one group, and they are selling.

Solana tokens

$XPAD

Solana

Buy $XPADChart Solscan

First logged 7 Oct, 16:33 UTC · last seen trading 7 Oct, 17:54 UTC

Market cap: $63.9K; 37% of $175K peak
Liquidity: $22.4K; 35% of market cap
Top 10 hold: 38.0%; pools left out
First logged at: $106K; 7 Oct, 16:33 UTC
Since then: 0.6x; 64% off the peak
Logged: 3 h ago; Trading

Am I early?

No. It already ran to $175K and gave back 63%.

0.6xfrom $106K, where we first logged it 3 h ago.
37%of its $175K peak.
15/15launch wallets bought as one group, and they are selling.

What's my risk?

High. The contract is clean; the people behind the launch have a rug record.

Nobody can create more of it or freeze your wallet, 100% of the liquidity is locked.

Top 10 wallets hold 38.0%.

15 of the 15 launch wallets bought as one group: 11 buying in the same slot, 10 going through one Jito bundle.

The creator wallet (3ALM…9oPm) has launched 12 tokens counting this one (GMGN's count), 1 of them graduated. Its best token reached $141K ($XPAD).

The wallet that funded launch buyers here funded earlier rugs too (they peaked around $120K).

A wallet in this launch has funded 160 earlier rugs.

$22.4K of liquidity, 35% of the market cap.

Bundle

Did insiders load the launch, and are they still in?

15 wallets bought in the first 0 seconds. 15 of them bought as one group: 11 buying in the same slot, 10 going through one Jito bundle, 3 paying identical minimum fees. They have sold 97% of what they bought.

15/15

launch wallets bought as one group

11.8 SOL

spent by the 15 launch wallets

0.9%

of supply still held by the group

Launch wallet	After launch	Spent
3ALM…9oPmcreator	0 s	4.05 SOL
52Gc…EMLx	0 s	0.26 SOL
DpfZ…CsQjseen in 3 earlier rugs	0 s	0.26 SOL
CQoo…T5Pa	0 s	0.51 SOL
8ptv…jkBWseen in 14 earlier rugs	0 s	1.05 SOL
2pcL…qXmbseen in 37 earlier rugs	0 s	0.52 SOL
Dxhp…bwtHseen in 238 earlier rugs	0 s	2.11 SOL
5ZG2…Ua6Dseen in 15 earlier rugs	0 s	0.30 SOL

Shared funder: 5tzF…uAi9 paid more than one of these wallets.

Launch read 7 Oct, 16:34 UTC. We read who bought, not what each still holds.

Holders

Who holds it now?

It's fairly concentrated. The top 10 wallets hold 38.0% between them.

38.0%

held by the top 10 wallets

0.0%

held by the creator's wallet

Pools are not people, so the top 10 leaves them out.

Early money & smart money

Is smart money in?

3 funder wallets we track paid launch wallets here; the same wallet funded earlier rugs.

Tracked funder3 funder wallets we track paid launch wallets here; the same wallet funded earlier rugs. 5tzF…uAi9, BmFd…ymy6, 3YLp…PYLB

Checked against the whales, early funders and caller wallets we track. A wallet we do not track can still be in it.

Socials & X

Who's talking about it?

A project account on X. 50 repeat-poster accounts posted about $XPAD. 1 account posted the contract in its own words.

Project on X@LaunchOn_XPad

1 account posted the contract in its own words:

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@Trenchclipping	483	none yet	16:50

50 repeat-poster accounts. Posted between 14:02 and 17:53 UTC:

“AI Signal (SOL) $XPAD CA: 7HPbJN9yCiMLbp7ewzeRYPAqjtniYw7Xmv6tiTkRpump Fourth xpad-themed launch on Solana today: XPad (XPAD) was about ninety seconds old when our signal printed. The odd fact is the bundle — 219 bundler…”@bitecong, 14:02 UTC · the post

Show accounts with27 of 50 · 100.5K followers combined

Account	Followers	Record	Posted
@bitecong Mixed	36,800	4781 scored calls, 18% hit 2x	14:02
@AutorunAlert Mixed	7,491	6890 scored calls, 19% hit 2x	16:32
@TrueAlphaPump Mixed	4,120	9 scored calls, 56% hit 2x	17:26
@APE_ORACLE1 Mixed	3,789	988 scored calls, 24% hit 2x	16:38
@Cyb0rgg1 Mixed	3,752	270 scored calls, 23% hit 2x	16:59
@SolDegen_Mixed	3,713	31 scored calls, 52% hit 2x	16:59
@CipherEdgeCalls Mixed	3,419	96 scored calls, 38% hit 2x	17:49
@Crypt_bencall1x Mixed	3,117	260 scored calls, 38% hit 2x	16:35
@apx_gmso2I Mixed	2,907	55 scored calls, 36% hit 2x	17:21
@MemeLaunchups Mixed	2,798	54 scored calls, 35% hit 2x	17:30
@midnight_277 Mixed	2,720	655 scored calls, 20% hit 2x	16:35
@VantageAlpha_1 Mixed	2,474	414 scored calls, 37% hit 2x	16:36
@solhousesignals Mixed	2,422	4187 scored calls, 19% hit 2x	16:33
@RugPullVet Mixed	2,408	161 scored calls, 55% hit 2x	17:24
@sol_omega05 Mixed	2,029	30 scored calls, 50% hit 2x	16:35
@GemChaserSOL Mixed	1,943	1390 scored calls, 17% hit 2x	14:10
@VELORA_GEMS Mixed	1,675	274 scored calls, 16% hit 2x	16:32
@kennethdelson20 Mixed	1,557	60 scored calls, 27% hit 2x	16:40
@Draxen_0 Mixed	1,505	350 scored calls, 34% hit 2x	16:33
@chanpeng_satosh Mixed	1,376	457 scored calls, 31% hit 2x	16:35
@Xeno_dochta Mixed	1,356	32 scored calls, 56% hit 2x	17:50
@PREDICTGEMS Mixed	1,337	475 scored calls, 26% hit 2x	16:39
@SouceroSour Mixed	1,315	24 scored calls, 46% hit 2x	16:53
@MarsSyndicxwb Mixed	1,197	1 scored call, 0% hit 2x	17:35
@CiggyAlpha Mixed	1,162	56 scored calls, 48% hit 2x	17:11
@marevivakk Delivers	1,063	50 scored calls, 72% hit 2x	17:49
@soldex_crypt0 Mixed	1,041	60 scored calls, 32% hit 2x	16:33

1 more account posted it as vote-farm copy: @Cathye2017.

Record = how that account's earlier calls went; “none yet” until it has enough scored calls. Who posts is attention, not a reason to buy.

We search X for the full contract address, never the ticker, and sample it: a post we did not see is not proof nobody posted it.

Evidence

Can the contract trap me?

Nothing in the contract lets the dev print more, freeze you or pull the pool.

Mint authority revoked

Freeze authority revoked

Liquidity 100% locked

GMGN: community takeover — the original creator left

GMGN: 55 smart-money wallets and 4 well-known traders among the wallets that traded it

Every launch read, with what it found (17)

Jito bundle confirmed: 10 wallet(s), 25.5% supply, 10.5 SOL, entered 0.0s after launch

Same funder as prior rug(s): 5tzFkiKs... 0.6% supply, 0.3 SOL invested, breakeven ~40 SOL MC, prior rugs peaked ~$120K

Coordinated buys: 1 shared funder(s)

Same-slot buys detected: 11/15 buyers, 27.8% supply, 11.8 SOL, entered 0.0s after launch

Bundler dumped into launch: 2 coordinated wallet(s) sold within 5 min: 2pcL7k… sold 100%, 5ZG2GA… sold 99%

Closed-loop proceeds hub: 2 cluster wallets routed sell proceeds to F4CAR6…tq7u (~0.796 SOL) — one operator behind 'independent' wallets

Layered funding detected: Funder 5tzFkiKs... funded by upstream 96d2Xze1... (2-hop chain)

Layered funding detected: Funder BmFdpraQ... funded by upstream EfwJn8cX... (2-hop chain)

Uniform minimum fees: 3 wallets paying identical minimum fees — programmatic bundle

Funding unresolved: 11/15 wallets

Single funder controls significant supply: BmFdpraQ... holds 12.3% supply via 2 buyer(s)

Funder profits at low MC: BmFdpraQ... breakeven ~35 SOL MC (12.3% supply, 4.3 SOL invested)

High-supply funder — highest runner peaked ~$Xm: 12.3% supply, ~$5.5m

Wallet(s) funded 160 prior rug(s) (PumpPill-verified): 2 wallet(s)

Same funder wallet linked to prior token(s) — 124 prior token(s), best peaked ~$34,165,177 (high-runway funder).

Scam wallet flagged BUT Trapped/Stuck — reduced risk: Wallet recycling: 2 wallet(s): funded 160 prior rug(s)

All wallets <1 day old — disposable rug infrastructure

Deeper reads· beta

Could the launch group get out?

Still being tuned. Read the sections above first.

The launch group is trapped: selling would crash their own exit.

No flow read in the last two hours.

Get the next call on Telegram — every alert, 30 minutes after members. The moment it fires, $99 a month.

Every time we logged it (8)

5:54 PMupdate (2.1x)$63.9K
5:54 PMupdate (99%+)$196.0K
5:47 PMupdate (60%+)$175.1K
5:44 PMupdate (53%+)$147.0K
4:34 PMfirst seen$103.6K
4:33 PMfirst seen$98.6K
4:33 PMfirst seen$102.4K
4:33 PMfirst seen$106.3K

Check another one

Paste any contract address on Solana or Robinhood Chain.

Every call we have made, with what it went on to do.