$HMMThinking Cat

The setup, and what would break it

It is holding its shape — the pool is flat at $494K once price is accounted for, and $572K traded over the day.

The case for $HMM: there is a story here but the evidence behind it is thin.

Breaks if: This only becomes a case if code starts landing in the repo and the documentation says something — until then there is nothing to invalidate; The pool is $494K today — if that shrinks while the price holds, the liquidity providers are leaving and the exit gets narrower than it looks.; Below $3.48M it has given up the 10% of its own peak that our replay treats as the line where holders stop coming back..

Where the money went

• The contract holds no supply of its own, so there is nothing parked in it to be sold into buyers later.

The liquidity lock

• 0.24% of the supply is sitting in the Uniswap v4 pool.
• Uniswap v4 liquidity is held as position NFTs on the PositionManager, so whether the pooled side itself is locked or withdrawable cannot be read yet — unknown, not clear.

The operator

• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x56384b22, is still trading with $9,981 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x12d5ee79, is still trading with $137,516 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x776357e4, is still trading with $25,367 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x2861f208, is still trading with $5,118 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x86202ef2, is still trading with $19,884 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x7b630f08, is still trading with $173,676 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x003abf07, is still trading with $131,532 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x2355431b, is still trading with $44,430 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x5ba31b25, is still trading with $10,973 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x4f3081e4, is still trading with $7,246 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x0a4fb6ed, is still trading with $10,953 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xe9a5083a, is still trading with $16,234 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x1c1daef0, is still trading with $99,441 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x280f6a23, is still trading with $7,671 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x7ec9f84d, is still trading with $5,726 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x96a02429, is still trading with $13,268 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x1d5aad3c, is still trading with $16,140 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x99452d75, is still trading with $19,001 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x860412a9, is still trading with $11,485 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, ROBIN, is still trading with $1,654,069 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xd2a577e9, is still trading with $6,630 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xac2ba65e, is still trading with $42,222 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x9fdf90d1, is still trading with $7,546 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xff080c8c, is still trading with $1,263,031 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x14b66f81, is still trading with $4,367 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x756a6265, is still trading with $13,454 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x4a72b970, is still trading with $158,906 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xbbf2c91f, is still trading with $36,949 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x39dbed3a, is still trading with $6,192,479 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xbac1fac9, is still trading with $6,743 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x5e7516be, is still trading with $7,330 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x1674ad3c, is still trading with $7,302 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x5d375c4c, is still trading with $6,527 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x32a3221e, is still trading with $10,432 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xe1e5f00a, is still trading with $41,253 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xbb067737, is still trading with $11,879 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xbcbe67a5, is still trading with $5,104 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x9f05acc6, is still trading with $9,860 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x0f03df65, is still trading with $4,709 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x0527cd5e, is still trading with $50,218 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x0453dcf8, is still trading with $5,969 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x559b4293, is still trading with $24,178 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x85a574f2, is still trading with $235,765 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xdb97b2ae, is still trading with $145,140 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x10451fe3, is still trading with $6,809 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xbe7dc72c, is still trading with $6,131 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xaca445cf, is still trading with $6,366 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x73114abd, is still trading with $18,957 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0x7df5daaf, is still trading with $56,298 of liquidity.
• An earlier project by the same operator, 0xb6ce5192, is still trading with $14,561 of liquidity.

Is there a product

• No documentation is published.
• No public code.
• The site publishes this exact contract address.
• There is something on the site that behaves like an app, not just a page.

Third-party read

• No sell-blocking behaviour is reported against this contract, and no tax is taken on the way out. Nobody has run an actual test sell, so this is not proof you can leave.
• The liquidity sits in 32 Uniswap v4 positions held by 9 addresses. Whether those positions are locked could not be established, so this is not an all-clear on the liquidity being stuck.

What this read could not see

• Verification unknown
• No actual test sell was executed against this contract — we can say nothing was flagged, not that selling works.
• Whether the Uniswap v4 liquidity positions are locked cannot be read yet — the positions are visible, their lock state is not.
• Coordinated-buyer read has not run for this token yet — this is not a finding of nothing.
• Whether the early buyers have sold could not be read.
• The exit could not be modelled — most often because this token's pool holds no active liquidity at the current price, which means nothing can be sold into it at any size.
• No readable public repository.